Weather Blather (E.C. edition): Winter over?
I know all of you are asking the same question right now: Is winter over? While it sure is going to seem that way over the next few days, I think the answer is no.
After a period of extremely nice weather over the next few days where sunshine and light winds will combine to create really fantastic spring like days. Look- I love winter as much as anybody, but I can’t deny that a 72 degree day with no wind, no clouds and no humidity isn’t sweet. It is. So appreciate it. Enjoy it. Find some corn. The clear nights should allow for significant cooling so re-freezing should be common. Hit the south facing slopes first and then swing around to the north facing slopes. When it gets too wet, descend, pop the top on the beverage of choice and put on the NCAA tourney. Not a bad day if you ask me.
By Sunday evening however changes will certainly be afoot as a large storm system enters the middle section of the country and some cold air builds into canada.
Looking at the beginning of next week right now it seems that the most likely scenario is as follows:
Spike in temps Saturday, warm Sunday, crashing temps with passing of front between 18z Sun and 18z Monday (Sunday afternoon, Monday afternoon), followed by upper elevation snows (graupel) Monday into Tuesday. After Tuesday it should stay more seasonable. Now some models really want to interact the legit winter air in Canada with this storm system on D-5 (Monday). Were that to happen we could get a very nice elevation dependent storm. It’s certainly not unprecedented for a sharp march warm-up to be followed by crashing temps and substantial elevation snows. We’ll have to see how this plays out but the potential is there for a return to …well…lets call it late October- to late November conditions by the beginning of next week.
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Greg
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 12:13 pmThanks for the update Lionel. I’ll take Late October…
Anonymous
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 7:14 pmskiing into baxter on saturday, it’ll be interesting to see what happens
Greg
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 7:52 pmAre you on the trip with our very own Curmudgeon? If not, look for an angry looking snowboarder with a mustache staying in Chimney Pond and say hi… he especially likes it if you say you recognize him from famousinternetskiers.com :D
Greg
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 7:52 pmPS Good luck!
Anonymous
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 8:13 pm^^byates1 here, skiing in sat. to r brook, sun-wed nite @ chimney pond. is your friend lean-to’ing it?
someone/group is going the enitre way in monday, we have the place to ourselves(chimney pond) sun night, then full for mon-wed.
we will get a storm, i have a feeling from LH’s thought’s, that a significant snow event is not out of the equation. i would prefer a corn cycle, high pressure situaton.
whatever..
Greg
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 8:55 pmhe’s in a lean-to. they’re making the whole trip to chimney pond tomorrow day. will be up for riding saturday only. i think they’ll be escaping just as low pressure sets up over the BIG K. hopefully you get snow dude. best of luck. take pics
Greg
wrote on March 18th, 2010 at 8:57 pmif you see this dude annoy him. he loves it. he won’t punch you or anything
powhounddd
wrote on March 19th, 2010 at 10:01 pmyep get out there folks. I’m going to chance tomorrow ADK before it maybe freezes up all wetlike.
Peter
wrote on March 21st, 2010 at 8:47 amThanks LH. Crazy weather rolling over Manny yesterday with red/orange skies on the SW’ern horizon at noon(!). I really hope this cold plays out well -> firms up the rotting base in the Central Greens and covers it with a skiable amount of actual snow……keep us updated as this big front rolls in today/tomorrow. I’m anxious about wed/thurs/fri this week, need some snow to make stuff happen.