Ok…so it’s not another full blown Nor’easter…

By:  Lionel Hutz
January 20, 2011 4:33 pm | Category: Weather

A few days ago, in the midst of another good (but a little too wet) storm I mentioned something about a coastal storm on the way.  Well the way has arrived. 

Unfortunately, the system looks to arrive without the necessary amplification in the upper levels of the atmosphere to really spin itself up into a full blown nor’easter. This doesn’t mean that it’s going to be a total wash of course.

As the system races into the region it will bring a widespread 3-5 inches of fluff across the Catskills, 4-8 inches in the Berkshires, and 3-7 inches in extreme southern VT.  Across much of northern VT this will be a light snowfall event.  Mainly in the 1-3 range.  Now most of the models aren’t really picking this up, but I have a sense based on some of the RH data that some of the higher peaks in northern VT will pick up a touch more.  Something on the order of 6 inches seems more reasonable when all is said and done. I have a feeling that the orographics (though RH is limited when the prime lower level lift is going off) and very cold temps will work to produce some high ratio fluff. That should push the totals a little higher. 

By far the hardest hit areas will be from CT through RI and MASS towards Boston.  A foot is likely to fall in this region by Saturday.

Looking long term I see good things. Cold things. But good things.  Trough and storm threats all through out the next 10 days.

Related Stuff:

  1. WED EVENING UPDATE: Full Size Candy Bars!! Winter Weather Event “Able”
  2. The Coastal Report: Storm brings snow to same places as last time (But this time a lot more)
  3. Departing storm may leave skid marks…of the good kind (Errr…Maybe Not?)
  4. Late Word: You might get some flakes where it matters: 12/5-12/6
  5. LH Peek at the Week: Early Spring Storm followed by cold
  6. Weather Blather: Light Upper Elevation Snow possible

5 Comments

  1. colin_extreme
    wrote on January 20th, 2011 at 5:30 pm  
    1

    looks like I picked the right/wrong weekend for an avy course on mount washington

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  2. Harvey44
    wrote on January 20th, 2011 at 5:35 pm  
    2

    Great post LH – exactly what I wanted to know.

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  3. Peter
    wrote on January 20th, 2011 at 6:26 pm  
    3

    thanks mang.

    I’m still trying to come up with a “safe” tour for Sunday’s predicted *cold* weather. I need something where I’m never forced stop, yet is really difficult so I keep working to stay warm, yet has very little possibility of injury, because I really don’t want to spend a night out at -20F…..

    I’m thinking….Blizzaard of Ahhhs and a 12pack on the couch?

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  4. powhounddd
    wrote on January 20th, 2011 at 8:36 pm  
    4

    thanks LH, I’ll take some more cold and good. “Turn down the suck, turn up the good.”

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  5. billski
    wrote on January 21st, 2011 at 8:43 pm  
    5

    NWS BTV is getting excited about next mid-week:
    HE LATEST (12Z) GFS IS HINTING AT THIS WHILE MOST OF THE OTHER
    MODELS ARE DELIVERING A CLOSER…MORE PROMISING STORM.

    So is ALY:

    ..AND WE
    WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE THREAT OF A BLOCKBUSTER WINTER STORM…

    AND IF IT MATERIALIZES WE MAY
    NEED YARD STICKS TO MEASURE THE SNOWFALL..

    I love “more promising storms”. We got weather rhythm. Rush all projects to completion and seek mountain shelter. I detect a marked loss of productivity next week. eek! :)

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
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