Snow for Northern NY, Greens and Northern NH early next week (UPDATED 2/10/10 3PM)
Two systems are set to affect “Ski Country” and should bring a few more rounds of light to moderate snowfall to the area from Sunday to thursday. Click more to find out what’s the story (and see our new toy!)
2/10/10 Update
Well it’s puking again in Philly and with a heavy deformation band rolling in upping snowfall rates close to two inches an hour it’s not shutting off anytime soon. This is by far the most insane winter I’ve ever seen here. UNREAL. SIMPLY UNREAL.
Anywho…looks like the Berks have had a few pretty heavy bands roll through and the catskills saw a good thump on the front end. However as the coastal deepens (and boy is it ever) the N/W winds are really shutting down the snow up in the catskills.
All in all…prob. the best snow is in the PA resorts…at least two feet in the southern Poconos is def. possible. (21 already in Reading – what a dump btw).
2/9/10 3PM Update
Latest guidance is split right now on the catskills and So. VT.
One Short Range Hi Res Model really hits the Catskills and the Berks hard giving each area 8-12 inches of snow.
The other short range Hi Res Model gives the regions a 3-8 inch snowfall.
Much of this depends on the track of the primary low. The higher figures are newer solutions and the most consistent models so far have stuck to light to moderate snow for these areas with the Berks getting consistently the most snow.
What do I say:
Two things
1. Snow for these areas is going to be a nowcast thing. Sorry but that’s just the way it is.
2. Don’t worry. Tomorrow’s a shitty day to ski anyway. High winds will hammer these areas as the deep sufrace low moves east.
3. Best bets (in order): Berks, Catskills, So. Vt.
4. Gun to head…Climo says less snow. Just the year we have. Would love to be wrong and see this buck the prevailing pattern.
2/9/10 Update
Bowling ball storm stays south. 3-5 max for catskills and maybe so. vt.
The beat goes on.
LATEST UPDATE:
Looks like we’re def. on track for a very sweet upslope snow event over the next 48 hours.
Looking at the hires models it appears clear that west/northwest facing slopes of the greens…from MRV north will see substantial snowfall. Previously I wrote that 6-8 inches was certainly possible but to be blunt, a few 10-14 pockets will exist by the time we get into Tuesday afternoon.
So..yea…go get some.
Update on the next system…still unclear what the primary and secondary low track will be.
Stay tuned.
TO SEE IT BIGGER: Click on the icon that looks like “picture-in-picture” icon. It’s right next to the “Slide x of x” icon.
Please also tell me what you think of the product. We’re experimenting here. Some thoughts include adding audio and music.
11 Comments
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Ben
wrote on February 5th, 2010 at 4:32 pmYum…
(not that i’m complaining about magic snow!)
Harvey44
wrote on February 5th, 2010 at 5:44 pmWay to up your game Lionel, you’re the bomb. I’ll spam the whole freakin internet with links to this sucker.
MadPatSki
wrote on February 5th, 2010 at 6:35 pmBowling Ball…end of next week. Interesting.
Pablo
wrote on February 6th, 2010 at 6:26 amfinally a pattern most of us can get used too. Great stuff lionel, but Jay actually reported correctly this past storm for once. They got a solid 9 inches of blower! Hopefully more for mon/tues. THanks
rdennhs
wrote on February 8th, 2010 at 10:25 amBig fan of the new picture player, a great way of organizing.
mason
wrote on February 8th, 2010 at 1:32 pmLionel,(or is it Miguel Sanchez?) I just found your blatherings and am enjoying the educational angle. Very refreshing, Thanks.
Colorado Dirt
wrote on February 8th, 2010 at 5:50 pmI too like the embedded powerpoint. The summary slides are where its at. Thanks!
Doremite
wrote on February 9th, 2010 at 6:31 pmYour slides are the sh*t. Make one forecasting more snow this weekend.
Greg
wrote on February 9th, 2010 at 6:44 pmhad to edit the swear word… sorry! Trying to keep it SFW. Don’t really care otherwise. nothing personal dude
Porter
wrote on February 10th, 2010 at 3:14 pmLionel sighting: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpxiCxO5k0g
Greg
wrote on February 10th, 2010 at 7:39 pmhe’s not as psyched as Lionel is