Summer Series: Weather for the weekend of August 6-8

By:  Lionel Hutz
August 5, 2010 8:30 pm | Category: HIKE WEEK, Hiking, Weather

First off let me apologize for the delay in getting this up. I was out hiking. Duh it’s hike week!. Nawww…I’m just playing. I work in a really large tower and they don’t unlock the doors in time for me to get outside. But enough about me. Lets talk weather. Of course since it’s HIKE WEEK I talked to the weather gods and we worked out a deal. I had to do some things I’m not proud of (and frankly had to google to even figure out what they were talking about) and are most likely illegal in Georgia and Tennessee, but in the end I worked us a great weekend to take a hike!

As we speak, a cold front is pushing east on to the coast. Behind this system a step down towards cool weather will take place as a large 500mb trough digs into the Northeast. Friday will begin with cloudy-ish skies. GFS MOS and NAM MOS guidance both indicate broken and/or overcast skies across much of the north country and catskills for most of the day friday. Though as the day wears on into the later afternoon the amount of sun will increase. Oddly this will also spike the chance for a shower. But whatevs that’s how the weather works.
While the moisture looks limited on friday, given the digging trough, the vorticity in the atmosphere and sun strength destabilizing the lower atmosphere a light shower in the mountains can’t be ruled out.

The real magic however should be over friday night. As the a surface high settles in under the 500mb trough skies should clear out and cool temps will reign. Now when you wake up there is a good chance there will be some lower clouds hanging around. This is common this time of year. Don’t fret. They should lift and clear by the afternoon. However, with some strong sun still messin with us increasing thermals small fair weather puffy clouds should pop over the high peaks and Greens. Though with LCL’s around 1500M-1800M I’m not too worried about clouds closing off the summits.
Other than that, Saturday looks like a great day. Temps will be late summer like and afternoon highs will fall in the upper 60’s to lower 70s. A few 80s will show up in the Catskills and Southern Vermont.

Overnight Saturday, as the thermals die and the clouds clear the temps should drop. There is discrepancy in the models regarding how far they will bottom out but I’d put a pretty penny on Mt. Van Ho putting up a low 30 spot. Die bugs die.

Sunday will be much the same as Saturday with temps just a nose above Saturday and with a few more fair weather clouds in the afternoon. So really have fun.

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Related Stuff:

  1. Summer Series: July 30 to August 1
  2. Weather for the Weekend: August 13 – 15
  3. Summer Series for the Weekend of June 18-20
  4. Updated: Summer Series: Weekend of July 16-18th
  5. Summer Series: Weekend of July 8-11
  6. (UPDATED) Summer Series: Weekend of July 23-25

4 Comments

  1. Beef Wellington III
    wrote on August 5th, 2010 at 10:09 pm  
    1

    Thanks for the forecast.

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  2. Greg
    wrote on August 6th, 2010 at 9:37 am  
    2

    woof mang… sounds like fall is in the air. can’t wait to get some of that in my lungs… DEEP in my lungs

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
    • Greg
      wrote on August 6th, 2010 at 9:38 am  
      3

      oh.. and THANKS

  3. Could Be Buggy
    wrote on August 6th, 2010 at 10:15 am  
    4

    I wish a little of that fall-like weather would swing on down here to Philly…although Lionel has promised less humidity for this wknd. I’m jealous of all who get out in the north country this weekend!!

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
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