Weekend Outlook

By:  Lionel Hutz
November 16, 2012 5:23 am | Category: Weather

With major resorts across the country opening this weekend, it’s time I get off my butt and start the weekend outlooks. Lucky for me, there just isn’t a lot to say this weekend. (I’m tired and busy from real work)

Across the country we’ve had a pretty tranquil few days. Large high pressure is dominating weather across the eastern 2/3rds of the country. That looks to continue through the weekend. In the northeast this large high pressure will result in seasonably cool and sunny mountain weather. Temps across the northeast at elevation will be in the low 30s both Saturday and Sunday. A while ago it looked like the high would slide east and set up a return flow bringing warm air into the region. Now that doesn’t look to happen. I suspect the northeast will remain seasonably cool.
Following the weekend the northeast looks to remain pretty quiet out to Thanksgiving. Models have shown the development of a “coastal” storm for a while. However I use quotes because the recent trend- and reasonable solution- has this storm developing well off the coast and not really impacting the sensible weather in the N/E. Obviously I’ll watch this closely but I’m not looking forward to any major snowstorm.

Out west, a weak wave of will move into UT bringing light snow showers to the Cottonwoods. Accums look light. There just isn’t that much juice with this system. More potent weather will exist further to the northwest as a strong front, ahead of a larger storm impacts Cali, Oregon and Washington. Heaviest snows will fall in the PACNW where a few feet will accumulate by the end of the weekend. Idaho will see some snows from this as well. How that storm moves into the west next week is currently unresolved. I’ll track it and let you know. Models have hinted at a more active and wetter week out west for a few days now. I’m not sold on any one solution yet. Just know the next 10 days look more positive.

Ok, that’s that for now. Go skiing.

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4 Comments

  1. mtl_ripper / powhounddd
    wrote on November 16th, 2012 at 10:00 am  
    1

    Thanks for the update LH, good weather for valley or mountain alike.

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  2. Dave
    wrote on November 16th, 2012 at 12:24 pm  
    2

    Good to see this update returning! Are we going to see a winter outlook this year?

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
    • Greg
      wrote on November 17th, 2012 at 2:56 pm  
      3

      greg’s outlook (not to be confused with LH’s): it will be cold and snowy, and sometimes not. there will be lots of acres of snow covered terrain in new england. if you slide down them you will smile. the period of december 5th will feature an epic new england snowstorm. the first 10 days of every month throughout the winter will be better than any other period of each month. if the number of the day of the year is prime, the probability of snow is .51. if it’s not prime the probability of snow is .49. i hope you enjoyed! lionel?

    • Lionel Hutz
      wrote on November 19th, 2012 at 10:54 am  
      4

      No winter outlook this year. I didn’t think there was a clear enough signal before winter set in to merit a winter outlook that I had at least moderate confidence in. Not going to put something out I don’t believe in. It’s a waste of your time and mine.

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